Monsoon Season Extended in Pakistan Due to Climate Change

Meteorologists have indicated that shifting weather patterns, influenced by climate change, may extend this year’s monsoon season until the end of September, deviating from the typical mid-September conclusion.

Experts have pointed out that southern Pakistan has experienced a weaker impact from monsoon currents this year, with significantly reduced rainfall compared to previous years.

Observations indicate that monsoon winds have primarily affected the northern regions, encompassing areas of Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

However, a shift in wind direction towards the southern regions is anticipated starting August 10, potentially initiating the monsoon system’s impact on that region from mid-August.

Rainfall is anticipated across the majority of Punjab districts within the next 24 hours.

The Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) Punjab has activated an alert for the sixth spell of monsoon rains. Predictions indicate substantial monsoon rains in most Punjab districts from August 5.

Due to the expected rains, a possibility exists for medium to high-level flooding in the Chenab and Jhelum rivers starting August 5. Rainfall during August is expected to surpass that of the previous month.

PDMA Punjab has communicated an alert to commissioners and deputy commissioners throughout the province.

Rainfall is expected in various locations, including Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Lahore, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Sahiwal, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Khushab, Sargodha, Mianwali, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad, Okara, Dera Ghazi Khan, Bhakkar, Bahawalpur, Khanewal, Pakpattan, Vehari, Lodhran, Muzaffargarh, and Rajanpur.

PDMA officials report a low-level flood already present at the Khanki point in the Chenab River, with similar conditions observed in the Indus River at Kalabagh, Chashma, and Taunsa.

Tarbela Dam is currently at 89% of its capacity, while Mangla Dam is at 61%. Water flows remain normal in the Jhelum, Ravi, and Sutlej rivers, as well as in associated hill torrents.

Relief Commissioner Punjab, Nabeel Javed, has directed commissioners, deputy commissioners, and relevant administrations across the province to maintain vigilance.

PDMA Punjab has instructed civil defence, rescue services, and related institutions to finalize advance preparations.

PDMA Director General, Irfan Ali Kathia, stated that an alert has been issued to relevant departments, following Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz’s instructions.

Emergency control room personnel are to remain on alert, and Rescue 1122 disaster response teams should be on high alert. The public is advised to adhere to issued precautionary measures. Landslide risks exist in Murree and Galliyat due to heavy rains.

There is a risk of damage to mud houses and dilapidated buildings due to the rains. Travellers and tourists should exercise caution and avoid unnecessary travel due to weather conditions.

In urban and flash flooding scenarios, seek refuge in safe locations and avoid crossing flowing water. In case of emergency, contact PDMA’s helpline at 1129.